Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2% on 29 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 52 daily closes on record from 29 Jun 2024 to 19 Aug 2024, the highest close was 11.5% on 15 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 3% on 22 Jul 2024. $77.86K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 20, 7:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 29 Jun 2024 – 19 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jun 2024 | 2.0% |
| 19 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Metizeen | Yes | 71.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Josh Shapiro, Governor of Pennsylvania, announces that he is running for president of the United States of America before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by this candidate will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed to run for president of the United States, or whether they actually file to run for president in the future. If the DNC does not begin by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and this candidate has not announced their intention to run, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by this candidate (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or their official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
