Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 5 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2025 to 13 Oct 2025, the highest close was 12.5% on 5 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 7.5% on 6 Sep 2025. $6.59K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 12:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 5 Sep 2025 – 13 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2025 | 12.5% |
| 13 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.14K |
| moon-k58-lad | Yes | 1.13K |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 1.01K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 962.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2025 Lisbon local election will be held on October 12, 2025. Each party or group puts forward a list of candidates, and the list with the most votes makes its top candidate the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who is elected mayor. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Lisbon.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lisbon-mayoral-election
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 730.3 |
| Ruuben17 | Yes | 514.87 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 458.79 |
| NoMoreMister | Yes | 175.27 |
| shine | Yes | 164.02 |
| fullport689 | Yes | 56.18 |
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