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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 78.57 | $0.140 | $5.11 | -$5.89 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.577 | $9.46 | May 11, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 33.33 |
| $0.300 |
| $4.27 |
| -$5.73 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | Yes | 25.99 | $0.192 | $1.56 | -$3.44 |
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 11.76 | $0.170 | $0.79 | -$1.21 |
 Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.240 | $0.47 | -$4.53 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.41 | -$0.59 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.055 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
| buy |
| 92.84 |
| $0.037 |
| $3.4 |
| Feb 4, 2026 |
 China coup attempt before 2027?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.070 | $0.97 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.019 | $1.06 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Yes | sell | 16.94 | $0.083 | $1.41 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 198.45 | $0.050 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.73 | $0.085 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.072 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 204.94 | $0.049 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.13 | $0.045 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?Yes | buy | 12.58 | $0.079 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $82.5-$85 in January?Yes | buy | 35.08 | $0.106 | $3.71 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?Yes | sell | 145.2 | $0.026 | $3.71 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $77.5-$80 in January?Yes | buy | 100.45 | $0.042 | $4.26 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?Yes | buy | 145.2 | $0.021 | $3 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | sell | 64.85 | $0.111 | $7.2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $75-$77.5 in January?Yes | buy | 692.43 | $0.071 | $48.9 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $77.5-$80 in January?Yes | buy | 774.75 | $0.065 | $50 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $82.5-$85 in January?Yes | buy | 491.1 | $0.102 | $50 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$82.5 in January?Yes | buy | 680.46 | $0.073 | $50 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 169.57 | $0.047 | $7.97 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.450 | $3.21 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $77.5-$80 in January?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $72.5-$75 in January?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$72.5 in January?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.091 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 271.71 | $0.032 | $8.76 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.41 | $0.041 | $1.37 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 71.71 | $0.014 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 143.14 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 16.58 | $0.120 | $1.99 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 123.27 | $0.041 | $5 | Dec 30, 2025 |