Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 71%. Yes opened at 79% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the highest close was 79% on 25 Jun 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 14 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 48.5% on 8 Jul 2026. $2.42K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 21, 6:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 20 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 79.0% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 71.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| PPMT | No | 30 |
| IntoDarkness779 | No | 17.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-in-the-burnham-cabinet-20260623004532614
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
| justmeandme | No | 10 |
| hesure | No | 10 |
| 70asd | Yes | 4.97 |
| Mojito9 | No | 1 |
| 69dsfs | No | 0.62 |
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