Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 17% on 26 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 191 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 20% on 2 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 12.3% on 28 Dec 2025. $17.92K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 191 points, 26 Jun 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2025 | 17.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lineth | Yes | 815.11 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 363 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 180.98 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fetterman leaves the Democratic Party by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes switching to the Republican Party, registering as an Independent, or affiliating with any other political party. An official announcement from Fetterman stating that he is leaving the Democratic Party or will no longer caucus with the Democrats will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from John Fetterman or a change in his registration in government records. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-john-fetterman-leave-the-democratic-party-in-2025
| jontra | Yes | 162.86 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 146 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 106 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 95.04 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 91 |
| Cronnozzz | Yes | 49.92 |
| Owwwnn | Yes | 49.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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