Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 15 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 25.5% on 15 Nov 2024 and the low 0.1% on 6 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 1.8% on 16 Nov 2024. $436.22K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 14, 5:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 91 points · 15 Nov 2024 – 13 Feb 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2024 | 25.5% |
| 13 Feb 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 20.62K |
| PolyDump | Yes | 400 |
| phroge | Yes | 140 |
| puligzad | Yes | 34.74 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Joe Grogan as Secretary of Health and Human Services by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Health and Human Services. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-hhs-secretary
| binbinii | Yes | 10 |
| 0xkol | Yes | 5 |
| vlondemone | No | 0.02 |
| Louisx | No | 0.01 |
| gaffy3r | Yes | 0.01 |
| ticktokyes | No | 0.01 |
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