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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Claude Code Commits be less than 500.0k on June 30?No | sell | 7.9 | $0.998 | $7.88 | Jun 29, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 9.01 |
| $0.999 |
| $9 |
| Jun 29, 2026 |
Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?No | sell | 8.88 | $0.998 | $8.86 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.997 | $1.03 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C or below on June 30?No | sell | 11 | $0.997 | $10.97 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C or below on June 30?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.998 | $12 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.998 | $3.99 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.995 | $3.68 | May 28, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on May 28?No | sell | 4.95 | $0.993 | $4.92 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?No | buy | 4.8 | $0.999 | $4.8 | May 28, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on May 28?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.750 | $1.02 | May 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 3?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.993 | $2.09 | May 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 3?No | buy | 3.21 | $0.998 | $3.2 | May 2, 2026 |
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.13 | $0.997 | $3.12 | May 2, 2026 |
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.998 | $4.2 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Gwangju FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.999 | $1.08 | May 2, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No | sell | 5.16 | $0.998 | $5.15 | May 2, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No | buy | 6.31 | $0.999 | $6.3 | May 2, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?No | sell | 6.36 | $0.998 | $6.35 | May 2, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.999 | $7.5 | May 2, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 3?No | sell | 7.46 | $0.998 | $7.45 | May 2, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 3?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.999 | $8.5 | May 2, 2026 |
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 9.6 | $0.998 | $9.58 | May 2, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.999 | $10.7 | May 2, 2026 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?No | sell | 9.87 | $0.998 | $9.85 | May 2, 2026 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | May 2, 2026 |
Will "Straight to Hell: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?No | sell | 8.93 | $0.996 | $8.89 | May 2, 2026 |
Will "Straight to Hell: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.999 | $1.18 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.996 | $2.16 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.999 | $3.3 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.981 | $1.05 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 4.36 | $0.998 | $4.35 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 5.5 | $0.999 | $5.5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Equifax (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.920 | $1.08 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?No | sell | 6.6 | $0.998 | $6.59 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?No | buy | 7.71 | $0.999 | $7.7 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.999 | $1.07 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?No | sell | 8.8 | $0.997 | $8.77 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?No | buy | 9.89 | $0.998 | $9.87 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will the median home value in Miami be greater than $1,355,000 on April 30?No | sell | 9.9 | $0.997 | $9.87 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will the median home value in Miami be greater than $1,355,000 on April 30?No | buy | 10.94 | $0.998 | $10.92 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 125?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.998 | $1.06 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No | sell | 12 | $0.998 | $11.98 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 13.07 | $0.999 | $13.06 | Apr 18, 2026 |