Analytics
Resolved Yes.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 123 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2024 to 1 Jun 2024, the highest close was 99.8% on 30 May 2024 and the lowest 50% on 31 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 92.8% on 1 Feb 2024. $41.58K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 1, 11:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 123 points, 31 Jan 2024 – 1 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2024 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jun 2024 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LowEnergyJeb | No | 120 |
| testorrrr-testing-mc-testfacey | No | 12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group on whether Joe Biden will be President of the United States on different dates.
Resolution source: https://www.whitehouse.gov/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-joe-biden-be-president-of-the-united-states-on
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