Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Apr 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 90%. Yes opened at 98% on 25 Jan 2023. Before it settled, across the 59 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2023 to 1 Apr 2023 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 3 Mar 2023 and the lowest 51% on 24 Mar 2023. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 51% on 24 Mar 2023. $338.25K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 26, 8:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 100 points, 25 Jan 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2023 | 98.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Azure Ledger 104E | No | 748.51K |
| QQQ777 | No | 191.08K |
| Poly11 | No | 2.9K |
This is a market group on whether Joe Biden will be President of the United States on different dates.
Resolution source: https://www.whitehouse.gov/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-joe-biden-be-president-of-the-united-states-on
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 2.5K |
| Limited-Counselling | No | 282.83 |
| Emerald Voyager B06D | Yes | 103.24 |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | No | 0.33 |
| 696969 | Yes | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
