Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 41%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 18 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 86% on 9 Jun 2026 and the low 20.5% on 31 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 64.5% on 28 May 2026. $10.55K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 12:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 162 points, 18 Dec 2025 – 19 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 | 48.5% |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 59.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 984.17 |
| Violet Pioneer FBEC | No | 477.24 |
| world321 | Yes | 200.93 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-me-02
| Yes |
| 177.99 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 141.81 |
| Rosy-Suppression | Yes | 100 |
| thebloodangel | Yes | 100 |
| moon-k58-lad | Yes | 98.86 |
| FreeCityIndividual | Yes | 58 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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