What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 7 May 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on May 7, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will… Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8oX4RCJJXAM.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

31 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 9, 12:23 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-may-press-conference) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May…

Market referencewill-jerome-powell-say-overreact-during-the-may-meetingUpdated May 9, 2025 UTC

Resolved

No · settled May 7, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$12.6K

Resolved

Settled

May 7, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

May 9, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

May 9, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

92%

Yes / No shares

8.01K / 0

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

116

Wallets

Loaded notional

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Neon Horizon BC95	Yes	1K	35.0%	$1K	May 7, 7:25 AM UTC
Swift Voyager F530	Yes	1K	39.0%

What will Powell say during May Press Conference?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What will Powell say during May Press Conference?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 7 May 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on May 7, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will… Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8oX4RCJJXAM.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

Neon Horizon BC95

Yes

35.0%

$1K

May 7, 7:25 AM UTC

Swift Voyager F530

Yes

39.0%

Trader	Current holding value
Neon Horizon BC95	$0
Swift Voyager F530	$0
Amber Comet 9474	$0
Azure Oracle 2A06	$0
Crimson Vector FAED	$0
Swift Scout 59A9	$0
Jade Ledger 8A10	$0
Neon Signal 5CC9	$0
Indigo Vector 1F1B	$0
Solar Tide 403C	$0
Bold Comet 8D58	$0
Golden Signal A5B0	$0

Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?

What will Powell say during May Press Conference?

Questions about this market

Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?

What will Powell say during May Press Conference?

Questions about this market