Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 44.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2025 to 19 Mar 2025, the highest close was 62.5% on 10 Mar 2025 and the lowest 42.5% on 2 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 62.5% on 10 Mar 2025. $11.74K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 9:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 1 Feb 2025 – 19 Mar 2025, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2025 | 50.0% |
| 19 Mar 2025 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tice-Nits | No | 10 |
| Quiet Horizon 2F67 | No | 1.89 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 19, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will not count. If no such statement happens by April, 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiHy5if2NLs
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-march-press-conference-1
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