Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 60.5%. Yes opened at 25% on 1 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2025 to 19 Mar 2025, the highest close was 54.5% on 14 Mar 2025 and the lowest 25% on 1 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 40.5% on 2 Feb 2025. $48.77K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 8:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 1 Feb 2025 – 19 Mar 2025, chart shows 10%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2025 | 25.0% |
| 19 Mar 2025 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| crypagy777 | Yes | 331.63 |
| Jade Maven E862 | Yes | 160 |
| edengul | Yes | 154.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 19, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will not count. If no such statement happens by April, 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiHy5if2NLs
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-march-press-conference-1
| Yes |
| 85 |
| Royal Tide 1646 | Yes | 55 |
| Amber Beacon 6FA4 | Yes | 55 |
| Rapid Harbor DEA1 | Yes | 50 |
| Silver Lynx 5194 | Yes | 35 |
| Rastasha | Yes | 28.57 |
| vanbraur | Yes | 16.49 |
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