Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 4 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 30 Jul 2026 and the lowest 2.3% on 4 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 5.5% on 31 Jul 2026. $3.1K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 2:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 4 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Aug 2026 | 2.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Major League Baseball player is traded by August 3, 2026, 9:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player is released, retires, not on the active roster for any MLB team or is not under contract with any MLB team by August 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-player-to-be-traded-by-2026-trade-deadline-20260728182533463
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