Resolved No on 15 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 49% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 15 Aug 2026, the highest close was 49% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 15 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 24.5% on 2 Aug 2026. $278.26 traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 15 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 15 Aug 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.32K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 102.11 |
| balthazar | Yes | 50 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the men's singles title at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, currently scheduled for August 11 to August 23, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cincinnati-open-winner-20260729185627610
| menthe2 | Yes | 50 |
| Hjklm | Yes | 30 |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 20 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 6.6 |
| fourcoin15m | Yes | 5 |
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