Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 68.5%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 27 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2025 to 28 Aug 2025, the highest close was 68.5% on 28 Aug 2025 and the lowest 54.5% on 27 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 68.5% on 28 Aug 2025. $4.61K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 30, 12:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Aug 2025 – 28 Aug 2025, chart shows 50%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2025 | 54.5% |
| 28 Aug 2025 | 68.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| popravkin777 | No | 283.62 |
| emperod | No | 99.31 |
| qwertzu | No | 80 |
| MuskBlessMe | No | 67.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
JD Vance is scheduled to deliver remarks on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act at a steel fabrication facility in La Crosse, Wisconsin, on August 28. More here: https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2025/08/26/jd-vance-coming-to-wisconsin-to-tout-the-one-big-beautiful-bill/85823534007/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization or possessive forms of the term will count, but other variations will not count. Instances where the term appears in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound of "joy," but killjoy is). If "President Trump" is mentioned, it will count as one mention for the "Trump / President 30+ times" market. This market applies only to the scheduled remarks on August 28. Speeches, events, or comments outside of this event will not qualify. If the event includes a Q&A session, those remarks will also count toward resolution. If the event is definitively cancelled, or not aired by August 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the audio/video of the listed event.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8cbDt9RAZzQ
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-wisconsin-on-august-28
| 1A2B3C | No | 40 |
| SWAG5 | No | 20 |
| vnglbtc | No | 15.63 |
| S888 | No | 10 |
| fafapranjo | No | 10 |
| tcram | No | 8.11 |
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