Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.4%. Yes opened at 25% on 29 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 29 Sep 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3.6% on 25 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 7% on 30 Sep 2026. $484 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 12:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 29 Sep 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | 25.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 3.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 364.32 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 150 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| HosoTrader | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 MLB Postseason with the most stolen bases. In the event of a tie for the most stolen bases, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with the fewest times caught stealing across the 2026 MLB Postseason. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". Only stolen bases in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count toward this market. The 2026 MLB Postseason comprises the Wild Card Series, the Division Series, the League Championship Series, and the World Series. Regular season games, exhibition games, and any tiebreaker or "Game 163" will not be considered part of the 2026 MLB Postseason. The "Other" market will resolve to "Yes" if the player who leads is not among the listed players. If the 2026 MLB Postseason is cancelled, or the World Series has not concluded by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, every named player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-postseason-sb-leader
| rubby1337 | Yes | 20 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
| plainfolder | Yes | 2 |
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