Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 39% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 80 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 5 Mar 2026, the highest close was 54.5% on 18 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 31% on 19 Dec 2025. $16.22K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 5 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 39.0% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.25K |
| Avarice31 | Yes | 750.33 |
| Rapid Pulse C73C | Yes | 400 |
This is a polymarket about Jasmine Crockett’s results in the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and the 2026 Texas Senate General Election (including any potential second rounds or runoffs). If Crockett wins the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and the 2026 Texas Senate General Election, this market will resolve to “Win Senate Race”. If Crockett wins the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election, but loses the 2026 Texas Senate General Election, this market will resolve to “Win Dem Primary, Lose Senate Race”. If Crockett loses the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election, this market will resolve to “Lose Dem Primary”. Crockett losing the Democratic Primary will resolve this market regardless of whether she enters the 2026 Texas Senate General Election as an independent. If Crockett does not contest a lost election, it will be considered to be a loss. The results of the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary will be determined based on the official announcement of the results from the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice. The results of the 2026 Texas Senate General Election will be determined based on the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. A candidate will have won once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, the winning candidate will be determined based on the official certification of election results.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jasmine-crockett-texas-senate-race-result
| Yes |
| 100 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 99.21 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 75 |
| diddyfoid67 | Yes | 58.82 |
| megadarkparticle | Yes | 30.25 |
| pnmdpqomwc | Yes | 30 |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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