Analytics
Resolved No on 27 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 21% on 20 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 94 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 27 May 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 30% on 1 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 16% on 3 Mar 2026. $107.07K traded over the market's life.
114 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 27, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 94 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 27 May 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 21.0% |
| 27 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 36.97K |
| Kutra | Yes | 6.35K |
| Kflyguy | Yes | 4.24K |
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-matchup-877
| Yes |
| 3.28K |
| Thomas44 | Yes | 1.22K |
| KarinaAespa | Yes | 1.02K |
| TheTradingGuy17 | Yes | 1K |
| immanuelcan | Yes | 829.67 |
| Stylish-Stay | Yes | 641.35 |
| myfriendmyfriend | Yes | 580.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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