Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 99 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 10.5% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jun 2026. $873.8K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 12:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 99 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 9.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| labistiiia | Yes | 889.8 |
| jazz2legs | Yes | 508.05 |
| Vivid-Cowboy | Yes | 333.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-enter-iran-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 288.06 |
| Automatic-Ability | Yes | 250 |
| norealtime | Yes | 173.29 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 149.98 |
| Al3629 | Yes | 142.86 |
| sepehrs | Yes | 142.86 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 121.62 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
