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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 16.42 | $0.670 | $11 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 71.74 |
| $0.160 |
| $11.48 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 71.74 | $0.460 | $33 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.095 | $33.34 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.120 | $42 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | sell | 105.92 | $0.389 | $41.2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 105.92 | $0.330 | $35 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 208 | $0.170 | $35.36 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 208 | $0.250 | $52 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 69.86 | $0.750 | $52.39 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 69.86 | $0.730 | $51 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 457.9 | $0.110 | $50.37 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 457.89 | $0.380 | $174 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 274.19 | $0.625 | $171.48 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 274.19 | $0.620 | $170 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 805.71 | $0.145 | $116.43 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 312.5 | $0.180 | $56.25 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 805.71 | $0.446 | $359 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 312.51 | $0.320 | $100 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 669.7 | $0.690 | $462.09 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 669.7 | $0.660 | $442 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.340 | $442 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.390 | $507 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 461.4 | $0.610 | $281.45 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 107.14 | $0.170 | $18.21 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 383.22 | $0.540 | $206.94 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 461.4 | $0.570 | $263 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 615.92 | $0.430 | $264.85 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 18.6 | $0.430 | $8 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 3.87 | $0.580 | $2.24 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 30.18 | $0.410 | $12.37 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 12.32 | $0.410 | $5.05 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 25.66 | $0.410 | $10.52 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 387.1 | $0.620 | $240 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 172.92 | $0.480 | $83 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 468.75 | $0.480 | $225 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.280 | $30 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 591.41 | $0.940 | $555.93 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.72 | $0.930 | $22.06 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.72 | $0.422 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.06 | $0.470 | $5.67 | Jun 12, 2026 |