Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 151 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2025 to 10 Jun 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 28% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 9 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 8.5% on 23 Dec 2025. $4.24K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 11, 1:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 151 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 10 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 24.5% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.03K |
| Misty Horizon DC22 | Yes | 402.06 |
| keybo | Yes | 235.76 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/me-02-republican-primary-winner
| Insidious-Maelstrom | Yes | 77 |
| Able-Helium | Yes | 52.5 |
| ma99 | Yes | 51.98 |
| Colala | Yes | 30 |
| troublemake | Yes | 20 |
| rated | Yes | 19.01 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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