Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 7% on 21 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 149 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2024 to 18 Apr 2025, the highest close was 24.5% on 26 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.9% on 25 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 21.6% on 3 Jan 2025. $15.47K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 20, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 149 points, 21 Nov 2024 – 18 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2024 | 7.0% |
| 18 Apr 2025 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.23K |
| Indigo Meteor C0CD | Yes | 90 |
| LeXef | Yes | 83.33 |
This is a market on predicting Jake Paul's next opponent in his upcoming boxing match.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-jake-paul-fight-next
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 31.06 |
| sinz | Yes | 15.74 |
| 1000xhitta | Yes | 3.27 |
| Cosmic Oracle 0EFF | Yes | 3.03 |
| gideon92 | Yes | 0.11 |
| Self-Assured-Productivity | Yes | 0.07 |
| Wordy-Musculature | Yes | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
