Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 11% on 26 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 11% on 26 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 3 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 0.2% on 27 Jun 2026. $1.28K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 12:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 26 Jun 2026 – 1 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2026 | 11.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.46K |
| balthazar | Yes | 199.68 |
| BASSATS01 | Yes | 183.93 |
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election. If two candidates tie for receiving the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election, this market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the specified election. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/greater-manchester-mayoral-election-most-1st-preference-votes-20260625163310509
| Yes |
| 143.83 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| appaHenDuoCian | Yes | 14.83 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| L.X | Yes | 9.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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