Will Italy win Pool B at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Resolved

Yes, settled Mar 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Mar 12, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 12 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 0.3%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 28 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2026 to 11 Mar 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 15.5% on 28 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 11 Mar 2026.

26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 13, 3:29 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Feb 2026 – 11 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Feb 2026	15.5%
11 Mar 2026	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.8K
Lavincey	No	120.19
mdgc	No	110
bulbnbob	No	81.46

10 of 26 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Pool B at the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. If multiple teams tie as pool winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 World Baseball Classic. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/world-baseball-classic); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.