Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Resolved

No, settled May 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$21.5K

Resolved

Settled

May 17, 2026 UTC

Topic roomEurovision

Where it stands

Resolved No on 17 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 17 May 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 4% on 16 May 2026. $21.5K traded over the market's life.

45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 17, 11:52 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 17 May 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 Mar 2026	49.0%
17 May 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Limbabs	Yes	600
Yuliiaaaa	Yes	557.59
WhyAyewGuehi	Yes	397.73

10 of 45 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.