Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 3 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 14% on 29 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 15.5% on 30 Jul 2024 and the low 0.4% on 3 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 6.5% on 31 Jul 2024. $254.47K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 4, 4:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 29 Jul 2024 – 3 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2024 | 14.0% |
| 3 Aug 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ElectionInsider | Yes | 368.18 |
| Purreonee | Yes | 100 |
| Adventurous-Cosset | Yes | 68.97 |
| Ill-Logo | Yes | 60.01 |
| DegenTrump | Yes | 49.67 |
| TakeThatBet | Yes | 22.22 |
| haaaam80 | Yes | 1.54 |
| Indigo Voyager E113 | Yes | 0.44 |
| riverfishing | Yes | 0.21 |
| BlitzschnellCapitalAdvisors | Yes | 0.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-by-friday
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