Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 16 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 170 daily closes on record from 16 Jan 2025 to 4 Jul 2025, the highest close was 10.5% on 16 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Jul 2025. $32.59K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 170 points, 16 Jan 2025 – 4 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2025 | 10.5% |
| 4 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| evperel | Yes | 596.14 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 398 |
| dzdg | Yes | 323.34 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any Lebanese territory between January 4 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over Lebanese territory they had not previously claimed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israel-annex-lebanese-territory-before-july
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Karimel | Yes | 145.19 |
| thelongshot | Yes | 111.11 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 68 |
| sebras | Yes | 54.55 |
| TheCondor1329 | Yes | 50 |
| PD.TH | Yes | 25 |
| Coral Quasar AAC1 | No | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
