Analytics
Yes is at 50%, up 40 points from 10.5% when the market opened on 18 Aug 2026.
The high was 50% on 14 Oct 2026 and the low 6.5% on 27 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 42%; a month ago, 9%. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 49% on 3 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “UFC: Who Will Islam Makhachev Fight Next?”.
$28.21 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.88, with a 99.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is empty-dog with 50 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 50.
Trading closes on 17 Aug 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 15, 6:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 57 points, 18 Aug 2026 – 15 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2026 | 10.5% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| empty-dog | Yes | 50.21 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 50.21 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Islam Makhachev is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Islam Makhachev is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by August 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-islam-makhachev-next-fight-1786908469816
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