Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 61.5%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 7 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 7 Mar 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 8 Mar 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 61.5% on 8 Mar 2026. $81.06K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 11:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | 39.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Pastel-Millisecond | No | 2.44K |
| Skinny-Class | No | 1.75K |
| cska1948 | No | 965.29 |
| Keen Oracle 3567 | No | 700 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-iran-name-a-successor-to-khamenei-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| kamarat | No | 500 |
| cq-0 | No | 398.24 |
| Agreeable-Minister | No | 389.46 |
| BHC1 | No | 368.56 |
| Lengzai | No | 325.07 |
| holymaria | No | 226.14 |
