Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 13 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 13 Jun 2026 to 27 Jun 2026, the highest close was 28.5% on 23 Jun 2026 and the lowest 7% on 16 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 25% on 19 Jun 2026. $6.74K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 2:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 13 Jun 2026 – 27 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jun 2026 | 20.5% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | 8.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shineee | Yes | 5K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 911.33 |
| Banditoes | Yes | 190.17 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the nation with the highest FIFA World Ranking that fails to advance from the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The FIFA World Ranking in effect at the time of this market's creation will be used. “Eliminated in the group phase” means the nation does not advance to the knockout stage (i.e., does not finish first or second in its group and is not among the eight best third-placed teams that advance). If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the group stage results cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-highest-ranking-nation-eliminated-group-phase-20260612144757157
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 39.73 |
| worldcupgodd | Yes | 39.63 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 30.83 |
| unoalef | Yes | 23.41 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
