Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 129 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 1 Apr 2026, the highest close was 68.5% on 2 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 68.5% on 2 Mar 2026. $25.23K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 8:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 129 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 1 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quiet Comet 7E15 | Yes | 182.5 |
| Indigo Harbor F9F8 | Yes | 39.22 |
| daroghi | Yes | 37.77 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies publicly tradable sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-dcms-self-certify-sports-event-contracts-by-march-31-2026
| 26lkkdasdsa | Yes | 21.19 |
| hesure | Yes | 10 |
| OldTinyDeactivated | Yes | 9.48 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| mdgc | Yes | 4.99 |
| Quiet Atlas 2293 | No | 2.73 |
| TraderProMax | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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