Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 46% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 18 Feb 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 4.5% on 2 Mar 2026.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 5:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 15 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | 46.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The seedings and bracket for the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament are scheduled to be selected on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team earns a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament is canceled, or the number 1 seeds are not definitively known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (ncaa.com).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-teams-will-be-a-1-seed-in-ncaa-tournament
| Yes |
| 50 |
| vger7 | Yes | 20 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 15 |
| TheFinalPercent | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 5 |
| planktonXD-jr | Yes | 5 |
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