Analytics
Yes is at 28.5%, up 12 points from 16% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 28.5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 16% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory”.
$15.11 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $845.36 since listing. The order book holds $439.88, with a 31.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 32 trades, $101.47 bought Yes and $256.55 bought No.
The largest Yes position is balthazar with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.8K.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 16.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 28.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.76K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.26K |
| ZeaLBG | Yes | 346.02 |
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on November 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the next Bulgaria Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a candidate other than Iliana Iotova or Andrey Gyurov receives the most valid votes in the second round, or if the top two candidates receive exactly the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия, CIK) (e.g., https://results.cik.bg/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-second-round-margin-of-victory-20261026154956939
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 64.53 |
| scorned | Yes | 50 |
| ImNotBetting | Yes | 39.8 |
| hfv | No | 31.62 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 13.19 |
| smellyEllie | Yes | 10 |
| Delirious-Graph | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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