Analytics
Trading ended on 19 Oct 2026 with Yes at 12.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 32 daily closes on record from 22 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41% on 22 Sep 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11.5%; a month before, 14%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 12.5% on 23 Sep 2026.
Justin Gaethje ranks third of the 4 outcomes in “UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?”. Paddy Pimblett leads at 55%; Arman Tsarukyan is at 20%.
$3.11K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 295 shares; the largest No position is cat9x with 719. Ten wallets hold 98.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 7:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 22 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2026 | 41.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cat9x | No | 718.75 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 295.16 |
| Dashdance | Yes | 290.33 |
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ilia-topuria-next-fight-20260616144855144
| Ale8cc |
| Yes |
| 251.69 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 232.37 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 148 |
| Yoelmma | No | 111 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| Polimaki | Yes | 20 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 16.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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