Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 31%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 23 Feb 2026 to 25 Feb 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 23 Feb 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 24 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 12.5% on 24 Feb 2026. $22.54K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 26, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 23 Feb 2026 – 25 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 49.5% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | 31.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Broken-Cash | No | 1K |
| charlieturk | No | 500 |
| helpbot | No | 500 |
| xiaodouzi | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is seen applauding at any point during during Donald Trump’s 2026 State of the Union address, scheduled for February 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The listed individual must be visibly clapping their hands together on the C-SPAN video feed to qualify. Other gestures, such as nodding, standing without clapping, or tapping hands on a surface, will not count towards the resolution of this market. Only applause from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during his speech until the moment he finishes will qualify. Applause directly before or after will NOT qualify. If the 2026 address to Congress does not occur by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the C-SPAN video feed.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-applaud-during-the-state-of-the-union
| t189 | No | 50 |
| tiancs | No | 50 |
| PX5300 | No | 29.94 |
| 0xwon | No | 25 |
| v7H | No | 20 |
| Makeit1M | No | 20 |
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