
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89%. Yes opened at 19% on 24 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 24 Aug 2024 to 5 Sep 2024, the highest close was 29.5% on 4 Sep 2024 and the lowest 11% on 5 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 11% on 5 Sep 2024. $92.29K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 2:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 24 Aug 2024 – 5 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2024 | 19.0% |
| 5 Sep 2024 | 11.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 28.31K |
| Conventional-Panic | Yes | 826 |
| Tadekelo | Yes | 142.86 |
| benck01 | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
US Open Winner (W)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-open-winner-w
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 0557 | Yes | 17 |
| smokeis | Yes | 0.01 |