Analytics
Yes is at 32.5%, down 18 points from 50% when the market opened on 21 May 2026.
Across the 154 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 85.5% on 2 Jun 2026 and the lowest 34% on 7 Aug 2026. The current quote, 32.5%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 36% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 45%; a month before, 60.5%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 41% on 19 Jun 2026.
December 31, 2026 ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “Will Hurupay launch a token by ___?”. June 30, 2027 leads at 69%.
$5.06K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $311.65, with a 23.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 175 trades, $442.23 bought Yes and $910.6 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Haradwaith with 203 shares; the largest No position is Viserys with 192. Ten wallets hold 94% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 2:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 154 points, 21 May 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 36.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Haradwaith | Yes | 202.6 |
| Viserys | No | 191.71 |
| AJSV | Yes | 97.24 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hurupay officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Hurupay will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Hurupay (https://x.com/HurupayApp), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hurupay-launch-a-token-by
| leichil |
| No |
| 75.08 |
| yetiyetiyeti | No | 52 |
| nryy | No | 49.44 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 44 |
| kongkon | No | 31.86 |
| Golden Kestrel D399 | Yes | 27 |
| UpTheStairs | Yes | 20.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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