Will Hubert Ciacci win Tuscany Regional Election?

Resolved

No, settled Oct 14, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$8.8K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 14, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 14 Oct 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.6% on 4 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2025 to 14 Oct 2025, the highest close was 1.7% on 5 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Oct 2025. $8.82K traded over the market's life.

15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 4:44 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 4 Sep 2025 – 14 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
4 Sep 2025	1.6%
14 Oct 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	10.46K
rburnss	Yes	1.45K
Ziigmund	Yes	1.01K
moon-k58-lad	Yes	918.42

10 of 15 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Regional elections are scheduled to take place in Tuscany on October 12-13, 2025. If no candidate for President of Tuscany is elected with more than 40% of the votes in the first round of this election, a run-off will be held fourteen days later. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Regional Council of Tuscany (Regione Toscana – Consiglio regionale, https://www.regione.toscana.it/osservatorio-elettorale).