Will HRPP win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 5, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$43.2K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 5, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 5 Sep 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 15 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2025 to 5 Sep 2025, the highest close was 95.2% on 29 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 95 points down, to 0.4% on 30 Aug 2025. $43.16K traded over the market's life.

56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 5, 1:15 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 15 Aug 2025 – 5 Sep 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
15 Aug 2025	25.0%
5 Sep 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	11.94K
fort123123	Yes	2.34K
Liam0345	Yes	1.15K

10 of 56 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

An election for the Samoan Legislative Assembly is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Samoan Legislative Assembly. If voting in the Samoan Legislative Assembly election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Samoa's Office of the Electoral Commissioner (https://www.oec.gov.ws/).