Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?No | sell | 111.11 | $0.060 | $6.67 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 23.75 |
| $0.090 |
| $2.14 |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?No | sell | 142.85 | $0.040 | $5.71 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.008 | $8.54 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 487.8 | $0.023 | $11.32 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | sell | 370.42 | $0.220 | $81.46 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.75 | $0.120 | $2.85 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.060 | $2.86 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen by September 30?Yes | sell | 271.6 | $0.023 | $6.33 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?No | sell | 188.01 | $0.279 | $52.43 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.424 | $84.89 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes | sell | 520 | $0.250 | $130 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.648 | $129.66 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?No | sell | 192 | $0.893 | $171.4 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by September 30?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.031 | $156.19 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | sell | 554.69 | $0.400 | $221.88 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?No | sell | 238.73 | $0.978 | $233.57 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.825 | $846.82 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | sell | 1.72K | $0.650 | $1.12K | Sep 29, 2025 |
 OpenAI social app in 2025?No | sell | 3.1K | $0.336 | $1.04K | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?No | sell | 3.45K | $0.490 | $1.69K | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | sell | 2K | $0.892 | $1.78K | Sep 29, 2025 |
| OpenAI social app in 2025?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.430 | $10 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 9.43 | $0.520 | $4.9 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 29?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.690 | $11.12 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Yes | sell | 336.66 | $0.022 | $7.41 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | sell | 40 | $0.400 | $16 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet between 900 and 949 times September 1–30?Yes | sell | 43.52 | $0.755 | $32.87 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Yes | sell | 123.15 | $0.325 | $39.99 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | sell | 23.63 | $0.013 | $0.31 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during his AI speech on July 23?No | sell | 10 | $0.042 | $0.42 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.140 | $0.47 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?Yes | sell | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.240 | $1.04 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 295.89 | $0.006 | $1.74 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 14.64 | $0.280 | $4.1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 9.87 | $0.703 | $6.94 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 2.29K | $0.020 | $45.79 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.024 | $19.2 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 80.64 | $0.250 | $20.16 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 325.52 | $0.306 | $99.61 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Yes | sell | 5.1K | $0.349 | $1.78K | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4PM ETUp | sell | 4.26 | $0.960 | $4.09 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 1.37K | $0.025 | $34.33 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 11.05K | $0.024 | $265.3 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.160 | $1.28 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid all time high before August?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.520 | $1.92 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?Yes | sell | 22.55 | $0.150 | $3.38 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?Yes | sell | 32.12 | $0.026 | $0.83 | Jul 6, 2025 |