Will Hong Kong have 550mm or more of precipitation in September?

weatherResolved

No, settled Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.7K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 1 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 1 Sep 2026 to 2 Oct 2026, the highest close was 7% on 8 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Oct 2026. $1.69K traded over the market's life.

9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 1 Sep 2026 – 2 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
1 Sep 2026	6.5%
2 Oct 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	962.66
Attached-Prairie	Yes	325
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.	Yes	150
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150

9 of 9 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.