Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4% on 13 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2024 to 24 Jan 2025, the highest close was 4% on 13 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Jan 2025. $301.48K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 24, 10:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 13 Nov 2024 – 24 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2024 | 4.0% |
| 24 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 49.49K |
| Lovaporion | Yes | 1.31K |
| keeni | Yes | 1.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Holly Cairns is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minster-of-ireland
| Yes |
| 250 |
| Warrioir | Yes | 112 |
| EeeeeVi | Yes | 75 |
| Erovik | Yes | 52 |
| JivanEung | Yes | 3.33 |
| Solar Scout 626F | No | 1.74 |
| adjouay | Yes | 1.11 |
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