Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 74% on 10 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 10 Aug 2024 to 20 Aug 2024, the highest close was 99.8% on 20 Aug 2024 and the lowest 74% on 10 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 86% on 11 Aug 2024. $138.69K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 4:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 10 Aug 2024 – 20 Aug 2024, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2024 | 74.0% |
| 20 Aug 2024 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tstraya | No | 2.94K |
| darealkneger | No | 1.11 |
| Dustinew | Yes | 0.05 |
| ANudeEgg | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2024 Democratic National Convention is scheduled for August 19-22, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hillary Clinton is a speaker at the Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This person will be considered a "speaker" if they publicly give a speech in-person at the convention. Brief comments, introductions, or participation in a panel or discussion do not count for a "Yes" resolution, they must actually give a speech. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Democratic party, including footage from the convention, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-speak-at-dnc
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