Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 7.5% on 27 Feb 2026 and the low 0.1% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 7.5% on 27 Feb 2026. $8.35K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 4 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 3.5% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.29K |
| macukinypichulin | Yes | 133.25 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| xiaodouzi | Yes | 100 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 95 |
| Violet Oracle 91DB | Yes | 87 |
| fang1957 | Yes | 80 |
| Cylindrical-Stylus | Yes | 40 |
| kopoll | Yes | 31.35 |
| asfdt18 | Yes | 5.35 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Marcello Gallardo announced his resignation as River Plate’s manager on February 23, 2026 (see: https://www.beinsports.com/en-us/soccer/liga-profesional-argentina/articles/official-marcelo-gallardo-will-step-down-as-river-plate-manager-this-week-2026-02-24) This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Club Atletico River Plate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no next permanent manager of Club Atletico River Plate is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's resolution date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Club Atletico River Plate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-river-plate-manager
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