Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6% on 27 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 139 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2024 to 14 Apr 2025, the highest close was 6% on 27 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Feb 2025. $673.56K traded over the market's life.
75 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 14, 8:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 139 points, 27 Nov 2024 – 14 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2024 | 6.0% |
| 14 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 207.63K |
| denyal | Yes | 3.5K |
| a1f13fasdf13f | Yes | 1.53K |
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Ecuador on 9 February 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on 13 April 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Henry Cucalón wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the winner from the Ecuadorian Government, specifically the National Electoral Council (https://www.cne.gob.ec/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ecuador-presidential-election
| Jade Lynx 51BA | Yes | 1.25K |
| INDSSS | Yes | 500 |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 409.86 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 400 |
| Arbuzchromov | Yes | 231.44 |
| AlecBaldwin420 | Yes | 201 |
| kulumi | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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