Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 13 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 440 daily closes on record from 13 May 2025 to 1 Aug 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 13 May 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 3 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 25% on 14 May 2025. $97.92K traded over the market's life.
278 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 7:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 440 points, 13 May 2025 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 19.95K |
| SINISTERPETE | Yes | 2.19K |
| f0fbf061-e3d6-4695-b608-4750265debc2 | Yes | 2.04K |
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/harvey-weinstein-prison-time
| Lunar Tide 10E8 | Yes | 1.57K |
| itsjustcheddar | Yes | 1.08K |
| wahahagaga | Yes | 608.54 |
| shenqidetuzi | Yes | 600 |
| Misty Summit 3196 | Yes | 524.75 |
| 0xdc3E831cad | Yes | 397.06 |
| lianzixuan | Yes | 372.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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