Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 10 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2024 to 21 Jul 2024, the highest close was 44% on 11 Jul 2024 and the lowest 2.5% on 21 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 44% on 11 Jul 2024. $4.84K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 7:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 10 Jul 2024 – 21 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2024 | 12.5% |
| 21 Jul 2024 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Yourmomiscool | Yes | 115 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hakeem Jeffries publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race by July 21, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hakeem Jeffries or his official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hakeem-jeffries-call-on-biden-to-drop-out-by-july-21
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