Analytics
Yes is at 90.5%, up 50 points from 41% when the market opened on 9 Apr 2026.
Across the 200 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91.5% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 41% on 9 Apr 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 89.5%; a month before, 79%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 66.5% on 10 Apr 2026.
Hakeem Jeffries is the favourite of the 6 outcomes in “Speaker of the House after the midterms?”, ahead of Mike Johnson at 5.5%.
$397.03 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.51K since listing. The order book holds $20.83K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 167 trades, $2.16K bought Yes and $407.17 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Fulgurator with 796 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 531. Ten wallets hold 82.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 4:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 200 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 41.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 90.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fulgurator | Yes | 796 |
| HerlihyM92 | Yes | 740.25 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 530.82 |
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/speaker-of-the-house-after-the-midterms
| BetterFish |
| Yes |
| 516.8 |
| Shameless-Hub | No | 396.03 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 299.72 |
| PCMTest | No | 200 |
| Golftango | No | 200 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 188.53 |
| Numitus1994 | No | 176.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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