Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $40m at auction?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jul 14, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$1.8K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 14, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 14 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 46.5%. Yes opened at 73.5% on 12 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2026 to 14 Jul 2026, the highest close was 73.5% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 27% on 13 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 27% on 13 Jul 2026. $1.79K traded over the market's life.

16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 9:14 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Jul 2026 – 14 Jul 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
12 Jul 2026	73.5%
14 Jul 2026	46.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Raketa09	No	150.68
Distinct-Kale	No	127.74
TENETENET	No	90.67
.Menthe	No	50

10 of 16 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

“Gus” - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton is expected to be sold at auction on July 14, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final auction sale price paid for “Gus” - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The market will resolve according to the final listed “Lot Sold” price on Sothebys (https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2026/natural-history/tyrannosaurus-rex).